If you’re looking for the best fantasy golf picks this week, you’re in the right place.
This brief guide is designed to help you make the right picks on a weekly basis, regardless of what the tournament is and who is playing in it. Because of that, a lot of the advice here is general in nature. However, it is a good starting point, especially if you’re just starting to take daily fantasy golf play more seriously.
There’s a lot to get into, so let’s get started.
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To do this, there are a few main topics that we should take a look at.
Value of a Daily Fantasy Golf Player
The first of these is value. The concept of value is an important one to keep in mind whenever you are putting together a roster. You can’t keep your roster the same from week to week for a few reasons. One, the available golfers will change depending on the tournament that you are looking at. And two, the price of the golfers available will change from week to week as each makes gains or performs poorly and the demand of the golfers in a fantasy setting leads to a fluctuation in salary.
Determining base value is pretty simple. Take the golfer in question and look at their salary. Let’s say that they are priced at $9,000. Then, look at their past fantasy points per game average. For this example, let’s say that it’s 88 points. Take the salary and divide it by the point total. For our example, you will see that this ends up coming to just over $102. This is the dollar cost that you are spending per expected point. We will call this player Golfer A.
Value becomes important when we use it in comparison to other golfers. Let’s take a look at Golfer B to give us an idea of how this works.
Golfer B has a cost of $9,200 and an average of 89 fantasy points per tournament.
Now, the question that we need to be asking is whether that extra $200 in salary is worth the extra fantasy point. To do this, we again look to cost per point. In this case, Golfer B stands at just over $103 per point. Even though he is likely to do a bit better in this tournament (we’ll look at the logic behind this next), you will be spending more per point. If you have the extra salary cash to spend this doesn’t matter. But that’s not how fantasy golf works. Because we need to stretch our cash out to get the most points possible, most of the time it will be best to buy the cheaper golfer because you can then use that extra $200 to maximize your points in other parts of your roster.
Value is important, but it’s fantasy points that win tournaments and not saving money.
Evaluating the Contest
Some golf tournaments require different preparation than others. You cannot treat an early season tournament with only a few big names entered in it in the same way that you would treat a Major Championship, like the Masters.
Even the best golfers in the world treat these tournaments differently, and the quality of play that they bring will differ. When you’re determining your strategy, the contest needs to be taken into account.
For example, some golfers do really well when there’s little pressure, but when it comes time to compete in a Major, they don’t do as well. This is especially true for newer members of the PGA Tour. Being a golf fan in addition to a statistics expert will help you to evaluate this side of things a bit better.
Also, you cannot forget that part of a good contest evaluation also entails evaluating the quality of the golfers that are entered. One of the things that we see time and again is that when a good golfer goes up against mediocre competition, they will very strong fantasy numbers. When that same good golfer goes up against the greats in a Major they will see mediocre fantasy numbers.
It’s really easy to look at average numbers and take them at face value, but you need to investigate a bit further to see the level of competition that they were up against when they earned their fantasy scores. Depending on the site that you play at (more on this below), it can have a profound impact on what those numbers really mean.
Using Discretion is a Big Factor
Of course, each daily fantasy sports site will behave a little bit differently. A strategy that seems to work well at one site might not necessarily work well at another.
It’s important to keep in mind that the above-mentioned tools are a general approach. There’s a lot of room for you to fine tune your approach and figure out what works best for each site or type of contest that you enter. This is one of those things that you will get better at the more you practice. It’s also something that you cannot measure your success in with just one or two contests.
Being a successful fantasy golf manager takes time, but it’s also something that needs to be measured over the course of a season. You will find that you will not place in the money every time you play. You might even have a few miserable failures when it comes to the rosters you put together. What’s important is that you remember that this is a long term thing and that you use your discretion regarding when to enter a contest and when not to. Over time, you will find that your earnings will rise, but you should expect to see ups and downs along the way.
You can be successful here. Starting with a consistent method of finding the best fantasy golf picks week after week is the best way to do so. Good luck, and have fun!