Kicking off on Thursday, this week’s PGA Tour action comes to us from the John Deere Classic. Much like last week, this is a weaker field, but that certainly doesn’t make your job as a daily fantasy golf manager any easier. In fact, it is probably harder thanks to the increased skill level of those that will be playing this weekend. Rather than hope that your fantasy roster is strong, take a look at our analysis so that you can have a better idea of who is going to be a high value draft pick, and who you should stay away from.
Daniel Berger: Berger is the top rated golfer in the field, according to DraftKings. He has a salary set at $11,300, which is likely to be the highest his salary will be all season. It’s set so high because of his second place finish at the Travelers Championship, where he lost a close one to Jordan Spieth. The question you need to ask before you even consider drafting Berger is: was that performance a fluke? If it was, you shouldn’t draft him here. We’re thinking that it wasn’t, though. He had a win at the FedEx St. Jude Classic prior to that, and other than falling apart in round 4 at The Players Championship, he had a decent performance there, too. He’s made 4 top tens, and has made 10 out of 14 cuts. The only problem with Berger is that he’s so expensive. If he were $500 cheaper in this field he’d be an easy draft. But we recommend staying away from him because of cheaper talent of equal or better value.
Charley Hoffman: Hoffman is a slightly better value pick than Berger. First off, he is $900 cheaper at $10,400. He has made 4 top tens, and has made 14 out of 18 cuts, both of which are right on par with Berger. He has a slightly better average fantasy point total per tournament at 67.9, but has no wins. Hoffman is averaging 71.0 strokes per round, compared to Berger’s 70.3. Although Berger has slightly better stats, Hoffman is a lot cheaper. This gives Hoffman a bit extra when it comes to the value he will give your roster. That $900 in savings can be used to supplement your roster more fully as you complete the rest of your team.
Kevin Kisner: If you draft Hoffman, he should be your number two man. Your number one choice will most likely be between Kisner and Danny Lee, but we prefer Kisner without question. Kisner has made 12 of 14 cuts, has 5 top tens, and a win. His average stroke count is 70.6 and his average fantasy point total per tournament is 69.4. He is better than Berger in every category except stroke count, where he trails by 0.3. Kisner has much better stats this season than Lee does, and seems like the obvious number one choice looking at perceived value.
Kyle Stanley: An interesting alternative to Hoffman is Kyle Stanley. On paper, Stanley is actually performing at a higher level than Hoffman, and is a cheaper price. This alone will convince many to draft Stanley. His $9,600 price tag is attractive, but we need to remember that a lot of Stanley’s stats are actually inflated because of his win last weekend at the Quicken Loans National. He has made 13 of 15 cuts this season, and has 4 top tens, so he is a strong golfer, but he hasn’t shown the same consistency lately that Hoffman has. He was T57 at the Travelers Championship, and T27 at the FedEx St. Jude Classic. It’s hard to tell if he is top ten material in this field. Plus, if you look at his win last weekend, you will see that he only scored 97.5 points, which is much lower than what he could have scored in that position. In other words, Stanley is a risk, and his ceiling is not high enough to warrant that risk. We’ll pass.